Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.773208 2.020580 2.289514 2.603553 2.960174 3.352555 3.817058
2025-10-05 1.469501 1.826273 2.248063 2.783297 3.444381 4.234266 5.250148
2025-10-12 1.242080 1.639144 2.136567 2.805085 3.680030 4.786475 6.292969
2025-10-19 1.112342 1.542050 2.106547 2.901759 3.993036 5.438542 7.500509
2025-10-26 0.975434 1.411631 2.008872 2.885422 4.138982 5.867753 8.435644
2025-11-02 0.868580 1.306440 1.928638 2.876019 4.281888 6.291944 9.387754
2025-11-09 0.768360 1.197349 1.828060 2.821327 4.346045 6.599212 10.186352
2025-11-16 0.706424 1.137467 1.791457 2.853959 4.536725 7.100346 11.308337
2025-11-23 0.653786 1.085508 1.760120 2.888551 4.728757 7.613201 12.484931
2025-11-30 0.598446 1.022922 1.704979 2.877787 4.843985 8.009977 13.503456
2025-12-07 0.542379 0.953130 1.630916 2.827422 4.886854 8.288959 14.345561
2025-12-14 0.491251 0.886464 1.555400 2.766328 4.903654 8.521787 15.122656
2025-12-21 0.442027 0.821589 1.482514 2.712950 4.946442 8.831715 16.115948
2025-12-28 0.433496 0.829541 1.538680 2.895778 5.427998 9.952303 18.664875
2026-01-04 0.402549 0.792338 1.509366 2.918631 5.619135 10.570325 20.354724
2026-01-11 0.385153 0.778736 1.521594 3.019169 5.962534 11.493173 22.694737
2026-01-18 0.354944 0.736696 1.475495 3.002178 6.077678 11.996344 24.273950
2026-01-25 0.328729 0.699774 1.435440 2.992398 6.204464 12.530095 25.958134
2026-02-01 0.300212 0.655026 1.375287 2.935516 6.229788 12.864416 27.267921
2026-02-08 0.283501 0.633410 1.359982 2.969454 6.444162 13.594408 29.455066
2026-02-15 0.268387 0.613625 1.346457 3.005432 6.665249 14.355367 31.773658
2026-02-22 0.250443 0.585685 1.312807 2.994237 6.782887 14.908054 33.691640
2026-03-01 0.230757 0.551748 1.262839 2.941855 6.804320 15.255282 35.186978